Wednesday, April 6, 2022

Gallup Pakistan Poll: Over Two-thirds Support Imran Khan's Decision to Dissolve National Assembly

A snap poll conducted by Gallup Pakistan on April 3 and 4 shows broad support for Prime Minister Imran Khan's decision to seek dissolution of the National Assembly and call fresh elections.  Support for the decision is nationwide with 66% in Punjab, 69% in Sindh and 78% in KPK province. It is the strongest among those identifying themselves as PTI voters with 95% of them approving the decision. Among the Opposition parties, 44% of PMLN voters and 50% of PPP voters agree with the decision.  

Source: Gallup Pakistan

Here are the key findings of the Gallup Pakistan Poll

1) Widespread support for dissolution of National Assembly in Pakistan

Respondents were asked ‘ PM has dissolved the national assembly and called for fresh elections. Do you Support or are you against this’ To this question a wide majority 68% say they support and 32% say they oppose PM Imran Khan’s move.

Source: Gallup Pakistan

2) Majority don’t believe in US Conspiracy to remove Imran Khan, although split exists along party lines.Significant majority 64% responded to this question and say that Imran Khan was being ousted because of inflation and not because of a foreign conspiracy.

3) Public Opinion split over performance of Imran Khan

Respondents were asked ‘ Imran Khan ruled for 3.5 years. Are you satisfied with the performance of their government or not satisfied?

To this question 54% said they are dissatisfied and 46% said they are satisfied’

4) Anti Americanism: Only 1 in 3 consider the US to be a friend

Respondents were asked: Some people think that America is a friend of Pakistan, and some people think it is an enemy. what is your opinion?

Almost 2 in 3 Pakistanis(72%) think US to be an enemy. Anti Americanism was highest among PTI Supporters (80% thought America was an enemy) and lowest among PML-N voters (65%) 

The poll included a random sample of 800 households (18+ males and females) interviewed by telephone on April 3 and 4, 2022. Provincial breakdown: 66% Punjab, 18% Sindh, 13% KPK and 4% Balochistan. Urban 34%, rural 64%. Margin of error: +-3-5%, 95% Confidence Level. 

Gallup Pakistan's note on Sample Size: The sample size used in this survey is quite adequate even in comparison to international standards. Gallup US Daily poll is 500 and the Gallup Poll Social Series is 1000, both having a track record of reliable predictability for the USA (a country nearly 100 million larger in population of Pakistan). According to Five Thirty-Eight, one of the most credible sources on polling in the US: "Surveying 2,000 voters substantially reduces error compared with surveying 400 of them, but surveying 10,000 voters will produce only marginal improvements in accuracy compared with the 2,000- person survey".

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19 comments:

Long said...

People are sick of these traitors and thieves.
The Pakistani public is finally waking up.

Riaz Haq said...


SHAHEEN SEHBAI
@SSEHBAI1

اہم ترین نکتہ: حزب اختلاف کو سب مل گیا یعنی عمران خان گئے، الیکشن آ گئے، بزدار گئے وغیرہ مگر ایک بات نہیں ہوئی- خان نے انکی حکومت نہیں بننے دی ورنہ سب کچھ تہس نحس کر دیتے- یہی دل میں کانٹا ہے-اب اگر فوج یا عدلیہ نےانھیں دوبارہ حکومت دے دی اور الیکشن نہ ہویے تو سب کا منہ کالا ہوگا

https://twitter.com/SSEHBAI1/status/1511830906285268999?s=20&t=JNP2etfqM-Z2U-QUg3rqGw

Moh said...

Oh, boy that's a huge endorsement and support.... No wonder the corrupt opposition is running around screaming.... They are afraid of elections and want to given the power by the establishment by hook or crook ...

samir sardana said...

Oil,Steel,Cememt,Coal and Gas are at PEAK RATES

EU if annoyed with IMK,could curb Pak exports to EU

Right time to bowl the googly and declare the innings

Let the caretaker cook himself in the stew !

UKR & Russia is the steel export bowl of the world

UKR steel mills are blown up,& the ports are blocked.Russian steel exports are stalled due to SWIFT & the impending EU sanctions on Russian steel.This steel will exit the export market.

EU steel demand will ,& has increased steel prices.On top of that,with rise in oil & gas prices, & gas cut off from Russia,or USE OF LNG BY EU or rationing of gas supply in EU - EU STEEL PRICES WILL RISE FURTHER AND EU STEEL OUTPUT MIGHT REDUCE = RAISING DEMAND FOR STEEL IMPORTS = HIGHER STEEL PRICES !

Prices of HMS Scrap will also rise - due to freight costs & the higher costs of scrap recyclers

On top pf that,with high oil & gas rates - coal prices will also explode & if coal to gas plants take off,coal prices will blast off.Further,if there is a conflict in the SCS - that will block the Niippon & Posco steel exports ,and if PLN makes a move on Aussie = blockage iron ore exports.

SO STEEL & COAL & CEMENT RATES ARE GOING UP.

IMK SHOULD NOT WANT TO BE THE PM,AT THIS JUNCTURE ! FALLING ON THE SWORD,OF THE USA = SIGN OF A MARTYR,IN THE US - AND THIS MARTYR IS ALIVE ! dindooohindoo

Zulfi B said...

Just spoke to some friends in SBP and there is an unusual rush to withdraw Pak Banao certificates due to sovereign default risk. Please do not panic. Arrangements are being made with institutions in China to provide backstop. Please let our overseas friends know.

samir sardana said...

With oil hitting 130 USD,IMK had no option,but to seek Putin's aid to get discounted oil

There was no other option

The UKR war will go on,for at least 1 month,if all goes well,for Putin = No MIGs and Missiles for UKR.

If MIGs come - then it is,a long haul

Good news for Pak,is that the land of Dindoosthan is low on ammo,and will have no supplies from UKR and Russia.Raw Materials for Military Ordinance,are short and expensive.

On top of that - Brahmos is dead

Putin will seek military supplies from PLA - and so,Putin cannot intervene,in Galwan

WILL PLA AND PAKISTAN,USE THIS AS AN OPPORTUNITY,TO TAKEOVER KASHMIR AND NORTH EAST INDIA ?

THIS IS A 1962 EVENT - which was a missed opportunity,for Pakistan - although Chou En Lai, told the Pakistanis,to move in ! dindooohindoo

Riaz Haq said...

#PMLN "Reform" Agenda: Abolish NAB, Repeal PECA, Disallow EVM . شاہد خاقان عباسی نے نیب سمیت کئی قوانین کے خاتمے کا اعلان کردیا. نیب کو ختم کرنا ہے جب تک نیب ہے ملک نہیں چلے گا ... #corruption @ImranKhanPTI #PTI #imrankhanPTI #Pakistan #Reform https://youtu.be/XV7U1vBtY90 via @YouTube

samir sardana said...

IMK should NOT praise Hindoosthan too much

Perhaps he is trying to awaken the conscience of the Pakistan Politicians - but it will not awaken !

Being a lover of the Indians/Hindoos,can backfire

In any case,whoever has supported the Indians,or reached out to them - was destroyed !

IT IS EASY TO STATE THAT THE 250BP hike and PLR crash is due to the political chaos - and that should ensure the win of IMK - But "India love" is a recipe for disaster.Jiye Jiye Pakistan

Vinay said...

Politics is all about narrative. Imran Khan leaving may sound bad now, but it may be good for the long turn.

Rates are rising and we are most likely going to see price rises, high inflation, and currency depreciation across emerging markets. Pakistan would be worse affected given the debt levels and the cost of energy imports. The next Pakistani government is going to face the brunt of this. Combine that with a narrative that US influenced change in the government, PTI would emerge much stronger when the next government falls. This, if the next government doesn't slap a legal charge and disqualify Imran Khan.

Most Indians would only wish good luck to Imran Khan.

Riaz Haq said...

BBC's Secunder Kermani on Twitter:

Secunder Kermani
@SecKermani
·

Just met this poor, v emotional woman outside parliament at 3am, saying her heart was broken by Imran Khan’s ousting, and that she would never accept this new “government of thieves”

Imran Khan will likely remain a formidable force in Pakistani politics

https://twitter.com/SecKermani/status/1512917101593325571?s=20&t=fME706NId2ri9aJcPzRRmQ

Riaz Haq said...

#PTI is the one truly national political force representing all 4 provinces of #Pakistan. PTI is also the largest single party in Pakistan's National Assembly. #imrankhanPTI's ouster represents a blow to Pak's national unity #Punjab #KP #Sindh #Balochistan

Watch PTI's Ali Mohammad Khan's fiery speech in Pakistan's national assembly after no-confidence vote:

"My leader will be back with two-thirds majority"

https://youtu.be/enbRU_-8K98

Anonymous said...

This is indeed a sad day for Pakistan, where the curse of a democratically elected leader unable to complete his/her full term continues.

Riaz Haq said...

Pakistan's political crisis: Why Imran Khan's enemies want him out?
by Peter Oborne
6 April 2022

https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/pakistan-imran-khan-political-crisis-enemies-want-him-out-why

Khan has many strengths as a politician, but in the context of Pakistani politics, one abiding weakness. True to his own nature and the precepts of his deep Islamic faith, he is not corrupt. This quality is not simply unusual in Pakistani politics; it’s a crippling drawback.

Khan’s honesty makes him fundamentally unsuited to the debased methods that are second nature to many successful Pakistani politicians. Last weekend, when Khan’s enemies thought they were about to destroy him, the embattled prime minister simply dissolved parliament, paving the way for elections. This decision left Khan’s opponents in the Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz) and the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) clutching their pearls in horror.
How outrageous, they are saying, that the future of Pakistan should be decided by the democratic will of the people, rather than sordid deals struck in darkened rooms.

I have been racking my brain to think of a precedent, not just in Pakistan but any country, for Khan’s decision to go to the country at a time of deep crisis. I’ve failed.
In Britain, my own country, how much better would it have been if, back in 1990 Tory party plotters had chosen an election, rather than conspiring in smoke-filled rooms behind closed doors to destroy Margaret Thatcher, one of the greatest prime ministers in British history. It would have been the right thing to do, and so much more democratic. That’s, of course, why the plotters didn’t want an election. They secretly feared that Thatcher was more popular than them, and I dare say they were right.

I have seen neither Bilawal Bhutto Zardari nor Shehbaz Sharif, the leaders of the two main opposition parties aiming to force Khan out, attempt to explain what’s wrong with a popular vote. Both men know that Khan will fight on his record - and that it’s stronger than they admit.

Sharif knows that Khan inherited an economic mess when he took office four years ago - the legacy of egregious mismanagement by his own party, the Pakistan Muslim League. A highly intelligent and gifted man, Shebaz Sharif must be agonisingly aware in private that his party was the architect of the massive debt and gross economic incompetence that Khan is struggling to confront since taking office.

Imran Khan inherited a virtually empty Treasury, a broken tax system and barely two months’ worth of foreign exchange reserves. To deal with Pakistan’s external debts, the Khan government hiked up the prices of power and fuel, bearing most heavily on the poor. Popular anger was inevitable.

----

He has a more commanding presence on the international stage than any Pakistani leader since Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, the brilliant and charismatic founder of the PPP (and grandfather of Khan’s current opponent, PPP chief Bilawal Bhutto Zardari). Like Ali Bhutto, Khan has worked to shape Pakistan as an independent nation. Ali Bhutto turned Pakistan away from dependence on the US that characterised the long dictatorship of Mohammad Ayub Khan. Imran Khan has sought to do the same, building alliances with China
and Russia, while also reaching out to Muslim states such as Iran, Malaysia and Turkey.


------------

Khan’s critics, both in Pakistan and overseas, have made light of his claims that the US could be responsible for his current political troubles. This attitude reflects either naivety, ignorance or disingenuousness.
While the facts are still obscure, and may never be fully known, history shows that Khan is entirely reasonable in fearing US interference in the country he governs.

Riaz Haq said...

Helped by #imrankhanPTI's extensive coverage, ARY
#ARYNews Tops TV Ratings in #Pakistan, beating 2nd ranked #GeoNews by wide margin. @PTIofficial https://nayatel.com/nayateltrending/

https://twitter.com/haqsmusings/status/1520460085494882304?s=20&t=c3g8VyprgG9iXigdBNjtng

Riaz Haq said...

How Imran Khan Is Disrupting Pakistan’s Political Economy
While Khan has lost the prime minister’s office, his core base of supporters has not abandoned him.

By Uzair Younus
May 05, 2022

https://thediplomat.com/2022/05/how-imran-khan-is-disrupting-pakistans-political-economy/


First as a cricketer and now as a politician, Imran Khan has for years perfected the art of drawing in a crowd. A day after he became the first prime minister in Pakistan’s history to be ousted through a vote of no confidence, Khan’s supporters came out in large numbers. Since then, Khan has addressed large crowds in Peshawar, Karachi, and Lahore, showcasing that he remains extremely popular, especially among the urban demographic.

Khan’s ability to draw out these numbers must be viewed as part of a broader global phenomenon, where significant portions of society, especially younger voters, have increasingly rallied to populist leaders.

A core driver of this draw is a rejection of “status quo elites” who have, the argument goes, extracted wealth and benefits for the few at the expense of the many. This belief in the United States drew voters to both Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump, and while their supporters disagreed on policies and ideology, they were united in their anger at status quo elites.

In Chile, a similar movement led to the election of a 36-year-old as president; in India, Narendra Modi became popular amid cries of “there is no alternative,” with millions of young Indians voting for him for a second term despite growing youth unemployment.

In Pakistan, anger at the status quo has been building up for years, starting with the country’s transition to democracy in 2007-08. Khan has been at the center of the movement, consistently railing against corruption and the extraction of wealth in Pakistan’s kleptocratic political economy. This consistency in messaging is a major attraction for those who believe in figures like Khan.

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Another key driver of his popularity has been the urban youth: the median age in Pakistan is about 23 years, meaning that a majority of Pakistanis were born after the country conducted its nuclear tests. This generation is influenced by nationalism and Islam — both disseminated through Pakistan Studies curricula in public and private schools. They grew up in the Musharraf dictatorship, which to this day is considered the “good old times” in middle- and upper-middle-class drawing rooms. The end of the dictatorship was followed by the traumatic years of democratic transition, marked by growing economic uncertainty, chronic power shortages, thousands of deaths at the hands of terrorists, and growing inequality.

During this same period, one corruption scandal after another reinforced the view that civilian elites were unworthy of ruling the country. Media channels and leading television anchors further popularized this narrative, and the Panama Papers’ revelations against the then-ruling establishment were the final nail in the coffin.

Khan harnessed this growing anger and grew his political base as part of his crusade against his political opponents. Growing digitization amplified his message, with digitally native youth volunteering for his party, leveraging social media and democratized information networks to spread his message.

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For a country facing another economic crisis, this polarization could not have come at a worse time. The country faces perhaps the greatest risk to internal cohesion since 1971, when East Pakistan broke off to form Bangladesh. Khan’s opponents have yet to demonstrate that they understand the full nature and scope of the crisis confronting the country.


They also do not have a narrative that can effectively push back against Khan, particularly in urban centers. All of this means that political volatility is not going away any time soon, and as polarization continues to grow, increased chaos and upheaval cannot be ruled out.

Riaz Haq said...

#Pakistan's police arrest dozens of supporters of ex-PM #imrankhanPTI .
@fawadchaudhry of Tehreek-e-Insaf party, said the police operation began just after midnight and officers were still raiding the houses of supporters late in the day. #Islamabadmarch

https://twitter.com/haqsmusings/status/1528878745422942209?s=20&t=HQ0ugpcV_1CH_94WJ4MO3Q


The key opposition party led by recently ousted Prime Minister Imran Khan accused police of detaining dozens of its supporters Monday in an attempt to foil a planned protest seeking to force Pakistan’s government into calling early elections.
Fawad Chaudhry, a spokesman for Khan’s Tehreek-e-Insaf party, said the police operation began just after midnight and officers were still raiding the houses of supporters late in the day.

Khan took to Twitter, condemning the arrests of his supporters.

No government official was immediately available for comment.

The development came two days after Khan urged his supporters to gather in Islamabad on Wednesday for a demonstration that he said would continue until the government announced a date for snap elections.


Khan, who served as prime minister for over three and half years, was ousted by a no-confidence vote in parliament in April. He was replaced as prime minister by Shahbaz Sharif.

Khan contends his removal was the result of a U.S.-organized plot. Washington has denied the claim, and Sharif calls it a pack of lies.

Riaz Haq said...

Helped by extensive coverage of #imrankhanPTI's #IslamabadLongMarch , ARY
#ARYNews Tops TV Ratings in #Pakistan, beating 2nd ranked #GeoNews by a wide margin.
@PTIofficial https://nayatel.com/nayateltrending/

https://twitter.com/haqsmusings/status/1529182226671276032?s=20&t=aFgrcQfywio-pcxBIusQSA

samir sardana said...

As I said on April 6, 2022 at 11:38 PM

"IMK SHOULD NOT WANT TO BE THE PM,AT THIS JUNCTURE ! FALLING ON THE SWORD,OF THE USA = SIGN OF A MARTYR,IN THE US - AND THIS MARTYR IS ALIVE !"

PAKISTAN GOVTT HAS JACKED UP OIL RATES,BY RS 30/ LITRE
SBP HAS JACKED UP ROI AND ROI WIL RISE FURTHER
PAKISTAN HAS SCRAPPED RUSSIAN OIL IMPORTS
LNG RATES HAVE SHOT UP

IMK IS HAPPY THAT HE IS OUT AND TAKING POTSHOTS AT THE GOVTT

PAKISTAN IS NOW BACK IN THE US/EU CAMP - WHICH ALSO SUITS IMK ! dindooohindoo

Riaz Haq said...


Bilal I Gilani
@bilalgilani
Anger at Imran Khan govt removal increasing in Pakistan

Majority now angry at removal of PTI govt

The trend is fast changing as the opposite was true before and on the eve of No Confidence motion being passed

Recent
@GallupPak
report on political weather in Pakistan

https://twitter.com/bilalgilani/status/1541057740503920640?s=20&t=xP5Z86w28mP9bjRRfaBUXw


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Gallup Poll Result: 61% of Pakistanis unhappy, 39% happy with Imran Khan's removal.