Showing posts with label Eathquake. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Eathquake. Show all posts

Saturday, January 16, 2010

Is Haiti's Tragic Disaster Entirely Natural?

As a long time resident of the San Francisco Bay Area living near a major fault, I am quite conscious of the potentially devastating impact of "The Big One" forecast to to hit California at some unknown date in the future. A 1906 San Francisco earthquake, measuring about 7.9 on the Richter scale, caused widespread damage and claimed at least 700 lives. A similar sized earthquake centered in Kashmir, measuring about 7.6 on Richter scale, hit northern and western Pakistan in 2005 and claimed 75,000 lives.

Another big tremor struck the Bay Area in 1989 which I personally experienced. The 7.0 Loma Prieta shaker in 1989 caused 63 deaths. This week, a major earthquake, also measuring a magnitude of 7.0, struck near Port-au-Prince, Haiti. Early Red Cross estimates indicate that between 45,000 and 50,000 people have died. Haiti quake's aftermath is not entirely a natural disaster story. This is a story of abject poverty caused by years of corruption and mismanagement. It’s a story about shoddy construction, bad infrastructure and poor public services.

How poor is Haiti? The best way to answer this question is to describe dirt cookies consumed by a very large population in Haiti. These cookies are literally made from dirt with a small amount of flour and sugar mixed in to make them relatively palatable. While these dirt cookies do fill the hungry stomachs of the poor, there is very little nutrition in them. Why is Haiti so poor and underdeveloped? Well, it does have a history of oppression, slavery and colonialism. Post-independence Haiti has endured bad governance, corruption and foreign invasions. Others, like Barbados and Dominican Republic which shares the island Hispaniola with Haiti, have done much better than Haiti in spite of similar problems.

There are very few place where people are poorer or hungrier than Haiti, with the exception of Bangladesh and some states in India and Sub-Saharan Africa. In addition to Bangladesh and the nations of sub Saharan Africa, the Indian states of Gujarat, Chattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand and Madhya Pradesh are worse off than Haiti, according to India's State Hunger Index (ISHI) survey report. Gujarat is often projected as a success story by the right-wing Indian media. The economy of Gujarat is sustaining an overall growth rate of eight percentage points, but the incidence of rural poverty declined at the annual rate of 0.23 per cent, which is the worst Human Development Index (HDI) improvement record among all Indian states. From 1996 to 2006, Gujarat slipped one rank each in education and health indices to eight and tenth positions, respectively, as compared to 20 other states. In improvement in Infant Mortality Rate, it ranked 13th. The state ranked 14th in Child Mortality Rate, 13th in TMR, 17th in stunted children and ninth in underweight children. What it says is that economic growth alone can not solve the problems of poverty and malnutrition in Gujarat, or India, or the rest of the world. Economic growth has to be accompanied with progressive policies to uplift the most vulnerable populations in society.

Obviously, the first order of business for all of the peoples and the governments of the world is to provide emergency aid and comfort to the survivors of the monumental tragedy unfolding in Haiti. We should all donate time, money and other resources that each of us can to our Haitian brothers and sisters in humanity in their most difficult hour. Most major international relief organizations such as Red Cross, UNICF, Islamic Relief, Hidaya Foundation, Edhi Foundation and others have online portals for aiding Haitians in dire need of immediate assistance.

There are soldiers and rescuers helping the relief effort from across the world, including Pakistani soldiers wearing blue UN helmets deployed in Haiti. Relief supplies are flown in by the American military to the only airport with just on runway in Port-au-Prince.

Beyond immediate help, it's important for the world to find ways of alleviating the abject poverty, recurring hunger and deprivation of the Haitian people and other victims of poverty and hunger in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Reducing poverty and hunger and improving governance in these parts of the world can help reduce their everyday suffering and prevent the repeat of at least the man-made contribution to massive tragedies resulting from natural disasters in the future.

Here is an interesting Op Ed by David Brooks in the New York Times discussing Haiti and the problems of reducing poverty in developing nations:

On Oct. 17, 1989, a major earthquake with a magnitude of 7.0 struck the Bay Area in Northern California. Sixty-three people were killed. This week, a major earthquake, also measuring a magnitude of 7.0, struck near Port-au-Prince, Haiti. The Red Cross estimates that between 45,000 and 50,000 people have died.

This is not a natural disaster story. This is a poverty story. It’s a story about poorly constructed buildings, bad infrastructure and terrible public services. On Thursday, President Obama told the people of Haiti: “You will not be forsaken; you will not be forgotten.” If he is going to remain faithful to that vow then he is going to have to use this tragedy as an occasion to rethink our approach to global poverty. He’s going to have to acknowledge a few difficult truths.

The first of those truths is that we don’t know how to use aid to reduce poverty. Over the past few decades, the world has spent trillions of dollars to generate growth in the developing world. The countries that have not received much aid, like China, have seen tremendous growth and tremendous poverty reductions. The countries that have received aid, like Haiti, have not.

In the recent anthology “What Works in Development?,” a group of economists try to sort out what we’ve learned. The picture is grim. There are no policy levers that consistently correlate to increased growth. There is nearly zero correlation between how a developing economy does one decade and how it does the next. There is no consistently proven way to reduce corruption. Even improving governing institutions doesn’t seem to produce the expected results.

The chastened tone of these essays is captured by the economist Abhijit Banerjee: “It is not clear to us that the best way to get growth is to do growth policy of any form. Perhaps making growth happen is ultimately beyond our control.”

The second hard truth is that micro-aid is vital but insufficient. Given the failures of macrodevelopment, aid organizations often focus on microprojects. More than 10,000 organizations perform missions of this sort in Haiti. By some estimates, Haiti has more nongovernmental organizations per capita than any other place on earth. They are doing the Lord’s work, especially these days, but even a blizzard of these efforts does not seem to add up to comprehensive change.

Third, it is time to put the thorny issue of culture at the center of efforts to tackle global poverty. Why is Haiti so poor? Well, it has a history of oppression, slavery and colonialism. But so does Barbados, and Barbados is doing pretty well. Haiti has endured ruthless dictators, corruption and foreign invasions. But so has the Dominican Republic, and the D.R. is in much better shape. Haiti and the Dominican Republic share the same island and the same basic environment, yet the border between the two societies offers one of the starkest contrasts on earth — with trees and progress on one side, and deforestation and poverty and early death on the other.

As Lawrence E. Harrison explained in his book “The Central Liberal Truth,” Haiti, like most of the world’s poorest nations, suffers from a complex web of progress-resistant cultural influences. There is the influence of the voodoo religion, which spreads the message that life is capricious and planning futile. There are high levels of social mistrust. Responsibility is often not internalized. Child-rearing practices often involve neglect in the early years and harsh retribution when kids hit 9 or 10.

We’re all supposed to politely respect each other’s cultures. But some cultures are more progress-resistant than others, and a horrible tragedy was just exacerbated by one of them.

Fourth, it’s time to promote locally led paternalism. In this country, we first tried to tackle poverty by throwing money at it, just as we did abroad. Then we tried microcommunity efforts, just as we did abroad. But the programs that really work involve intrusive paternalism.

These programs, like the Harlem Children’s Zone and the No Excuses schools, are led by people who figure they don’t understand all the factors that have contributed to poverty, but they don’t care. They are going to replace parts of the local culture with a highly demanding, highly intensive culture of achievement — involving everything from new child-rearing practices to stricter schools to better job performance.

It’s time to take that approach abroad, too. It’s time to find self-confident local leaders who will create No Excuses countercultures in places like Haiti, surrounding people — maybe just in a neighborhood or a school — with middle-class assumptions, an achievement ethos and tough, measurable demands.

The late political scientist Samuel P. Huntington used to acknowledge that cultural change is hard, but cultures do change after major traumas. This earthquake is certainly a trauma. The only question is whether the outside world continues with the same old, same old.


Related Links:

Aid, Trade, Investments and Remittances

Poverty in Pakistan

Haitian Dirt Cookies

The Underlying Tragedy

India State Hunger Index

Grinding Poverty in Resurgent India

Can Congress Deliver in India?

Food, Clothing and Shelter in India and Pakistan

What Works in Development? By Jessica Cohen, William Easterly